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June 24, 2022: -On Wednesday, Chinese President Xi Jinping made a rare statement that his country seeks to achieve its economic goals for the year.
Investment analysts have cut projections for China’s GDP growth to well before the official target following stringent Covid controls that restricted business activity in the previous months. Government stimulus has been respectively muted so far.
“We would step up macroeconomic policy adjustment and adopt forceful measures to deliver the financial and social development goals for the whole year and underestimate the impact of COVID-19,” Xi said, according to an English-language state media readout.
He is not sharing details on what kind of measures would be used to support growth. Rather than “better aggressive,” the Chinese text of the speech published by state media described future actions as “more effective,” according to a CNBC translation.
However, Xi’s straightforward language marks a rare public statement by a senior leader about the full-year economic targets they were set at an annual conference in mid-March.
Those goals include unemployed in cities of “no more than 5.5%,” an increase in the consumer price index of “about 3%,” and GDP growth of “around 5.5%.”
The median GDP forecast from the investment banks tracked is far lower, at 3.4%.
The Bank of America is evolving the latest cut earlier this week, while Nomura’s lowest prediction is 3.3%. Goldman Sachs is the only central investment bank with a 4% or slightly higher forecast.
“While growth recovery occurs to keep revved in June, barring more additional policy easing dramatically, we consider the ‘around 5.5% GDP growth target remains extremely challenging,” Goldman Sachs analyst and a team said on Wednesday.
In May, Premier Li Keqiang called officials at an unprecedentedly massive videoconference to “work hard” for growth in the second quarter. Economic figures in April and May show the slowest growth since the initial shock of the pandemic in 2020.
Xi on Wednesday addressed the opening ceremony of the BRICS Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa business forum. China hosts the annual gathering of developing countries almost this year.
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